NONPARAMETRIC NUMERICAL APPROACHES TO PROBABILITY WEIGHTING FUNCTION CONSTRUCTION FOR MANIFESTATION AND PREDICTION OF RISK PREFERENCES
dc.authorid | Govindan, Kannan/0000-0002-6204-1196 | |
dc.authorid | Chen, Zhen-Song/0000-0003-4360-5459 | |
dc.authorwosid | Govindan, Kannan/M-5996-2017 | |
dc.authorwosid | Chen, Zhen-Song/K-3436-2019 | |
dc.contributor.author | Wu, Sheng | |
dc.contributor.author | Chen, Zhen-Song | |
dc.contributor.author | Pedrycz, Witold | |
dc.contributor.author | Govindan, Kannan | |
dc.contributor.author | Chin, Kwai-Sang | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2024-05-19T14:46:18Z | |
dc.date.available | 2024-05-19T14:46:18Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2023 | |
dc.department | İstinye Üniversitesi | en_US |
dc.description.abstract | Probability weighting function (PWF) is the psychological probability of a decision-maker for ob-jective probability, which reflects and predicts the risk preferences of decision-maker in behavioral decision-making. The existing approaches to PWF estimation generally include parametric methodologies to PWF con-struction and nonparametric elicitation of PWF. However, few of them explores the combination of parametric and nonparametric elicitation approaches to approximate PWF. To describe quantitatively risk preferences, the Newton interpolation, as a well-established mathematical approximation approach, is introduced to task-specifi-cally match PWF under the frameworks of prospect theory and cumulative prospect theory with descriptive psy-chological analyses. The Newton interpolation serves as a nonparametric numerical approach to the estimation of PWF by fitting experimental preference points without imposing any specific parametric form assumptions. The elaborated nonparametric PWF model varies in accordance with the number of the experimental preference points elicitation in terms of its functional form. The introduction of Newton interpolation to PWF estimation into decision-making under risk will benefit to reflect and predict the risk preferences of decision-makers both at the aggregate and individual levels. The Newton interpolation-based nonparametric PWF model exhibits an inverse S-shaped PWF and obeys the fourfold pattern of decision-makers' risk preferences as suggested by previous empirical analyses. | en_US |
dc.description.sponsorship | National Natural Science Foundation of China [72171182, 71801175, 71871171, 71971182, 72031009]; Chinese National Funding of Social Sciences [20ZD058]; Ger/HKJRS project [G-CityU103/17]; City University of Hong Kong SRG [7004969] | en_US |
dc.description.sponsorship | This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant Nos. 72171182, 71801175, 71871171, 71971182, and 72031009) , the Chinese National Funding of Social Sciences (grant No. 20&ZD058) , the Ger/HKJRS project (grant No. G-CityU103/17) , and partly by the City University of Hong Kong SRG (grant no. 7004969) . | en_US |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.3846/tede.2023.18551 | |
dc.identifier.endpage | 1167 | en_US |
dc.identifier.issn | 2029-4913 | |
dc.identifier.issn | 2029-4921 | |
dc.identifier.issue | 4 | en_US |
dc.identifier.scopus | 2-s2.0-85174468551 | en_US |
dc.identifier.scopusquality | Q2 | en_US |
dc.identifier.startpage | 1127 | en_US |
dc.identifier.uri | https://doi.org10.3846/tede.2023.18551 | |
dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12713/5491 | |
dc.identifier.volume | 29 | en_US |
dc.identifier.wos | WOS:000974373000001 | en_US |
dc.identifier.wosquality | N/A | en_US |
dc.indekslendigikaynak | Web of Science | en_US |
dc.indekslendigikaynak | Scopus | en_US |
dc.language.iso | en | en_US |
dc.publisher | Vilnius Gediminas Tech Univ | en_US |
dc.relation.ispartof | Technological and Economic Development of Economy | en_US |
dc.relation.publicationcategory | Makale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı | en_US |
dc.rights | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess | en_US |
dc.snmz | 20240519_ka | en_US |
dc.subject | Probability Weighting Function | en_US |
dc.subject | Risk Preference | en_US |
dc.subject | Nonparametric Numerical Approach | en_US |
dc.subject | Newton Interpolation | en_US |
dc.subject | Preference Points | en_US |
dc.subject | Decision-Making Under Risk | en_US |
dc.title | NONPARAMETRIC NUMERICAL APPROACHES TO PROBABILITY WEIGHTING FUNCTION CONSTRUCTION FOR MANIFESTATION AND PREDICTION OF RISK PREFERENCES | en_US |
dc.type | Article | en_US |