The contribution of testing in the fight against COVID-19: evidence from Italy

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dc.authoridSibel Ertek / 0000-0002-9283-0292en_US
dc.authorscopusidSibel Ertek / 15135521900
dc.authorwosidSibel Ertek / CNY-8846-2022
dc.contributor.authorMatteis, Alessandro De
dc.contributor.authorTürkmen Ceylan, Fethiye B.
dc.contributor.authorAdrianopoli, Marina
dc.contributor.authorErtek, Sibel
dc.date.accessioned2021-04-26T06:42:50Z
dc.date.available2021-04-26T06:42:50Z
dc.date.issued2021en_US
dc.departmentİstinye Üniversitesi, Tıp Fakültesi, Dahili Tıp Bilimleri Bölümüen_US
dc.description.abstractBackground: In response to the COVID-19 epidemic a few countries have rolled out widespread testing of the population, while in other countries only people requiring hospital admission are being screened. After an extensive testing strategy during the initial few weeks in the early phase of the epidemic, the Italian Ministry of Health made its testing policy more stringent. In this study we assess the contribution of the testing policy to containing the spread of the COVID-19 epidemic in Northern Italy. Methods: The analysis is focused on the evolution of the epidemic and related health intervention in four regions where approximately 80% of the national death toll due to COVID-19 has occurred.The assumed under-estimation of asymptomatic cases has led us to make use of the number of deaths due to the epidemic to analyse the effectiveness of testing. The analysis is conducted through an autoregressive time-series approach where we use official data from the Ministry of Health. Results: The results of the analysis confirm a negative relationship between the number of tests carried out and the progression of the epidemic. In particular, results reveal that the tests are particularly effective in breaking the chain of transmission when they are implemented at the early stages of the spread of the virus. Conclusions: A large-scale testing policy is recommended as a critical contribution to effectively contain the epidemic. In addition, it is highly recommended to set up all necessary measures to enable the quick scale-up of testing capacity whenever required.en_US
dc.identifier.citationDe Matteis, A., Turkmen Ceylan, F. B., Adrianopoli, M., & Ertek, S. (2021). The contribution of testing in the fight against COVID-19: Evidence from Italy. European journal of public health, ckab064. Advance online publication. https://doi.org/10.1093/eurpub/ckab064en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1093/eurpub/ckab064en_US
dc.identifier.pmid33876825en_US
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85118315383en_US
dc.identifier.scopusqualityN/Aen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1093/eurpub/ckab064
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12713/1703
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000711227200045en_US
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ2en_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Scienceen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopusen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakPubMeden_US
dc.institutionauthorErtek, Sibel
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherOxford Academicen_US
dc.relation.ispartofEur J Public Health .en_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.subjectCOVID-19en_US
dc.subjectItalyen_US
dc.subjectTesting Policyen_US
dc.subjectVAR Modelen_US
dc.titleThe contribution of testing in the fight against COVID-19: evidence from Italyen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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