Discovering injury severity risk factors in automobile crashes: A hybrid explainable AI framework for decision support

Yükleniyor...
Küçük Resim

Tarih

2022

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

ELSEVIER SCI

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess

Özet

Millions of car crashes occur annually in the US, leaving tens of thousands of deaths and many more severe injuries. Thus, understanding the most impactful contributors to severe injuries in automobile crashes and mitigating their effects are of great importance in traffic safety improvement. This paper develops a hybrid framework involving predictive analytics, explainable AI, and heuristic optimization techniques to investigate and explain the injury severity risk factors in automobile crashes. First, our framework examines various machine learning models to identify the one with the best prediction performance as the base model. Then, it utilizes two popular state-of-the-art explainable AI techniques from the literature (i.e., leave-one-covariate-out and TreeEx-plainer) and our proposed explanation method based on the variable neighborhood search procedure to construe the importance of the variables. Finally, by applying an information fusion technique, our approach identifies a unified ranking list of the most important variables contributing to severe car crash injuries. Transportation safety planners and policymakers can use our findings to reduce the severity of car accidents, improve traffic safety, and save many lives.

Açıklama

Anahtar Kelimeler

Explainable AI, Variable Neighborhood Search, Machine Learning, Information Fusion, Injury Severity Risk Factors

Kaynak

RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY

WoS Q Değeri

Q1

Scopus Q Değeri

Q1

Cilt

226

Sayı

Künye

Amini, M., Bagheri, A., Delen, D. (2022). Discovering injury severity risk factors in automobile crashes: A hybrid explainable AI framework for decision support. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 226.